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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5774
Star Rookie Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$17.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.13 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $17.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.44
Grail premium $0.69 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $17.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
67 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
40
of 15,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 50 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.33
Rare4 / 2,415 (0.2%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 16 · 0.6× launch rate
Common76 / 27,534 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 50 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 4 / 2,415 | 5.0% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 76 / 27,534 | 95% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 67 of 67 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Pascal Siakam
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Kyle Kuzma
Dunk · Jan 17, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Kel'el Ware
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Naji Marshall
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Harrison Barnes
Dunk · Feb 4, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 888
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Matthew Dellavedova
Jump Shot · Jun 10, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.63
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Patty Mills
3 Pointer · Oct 19, 2021
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
De'Andre Hunter
3 Pointer · Feb 11, 2025
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,024
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Cason Wallace
Steal · Jan 23, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Coby White
3 Pointer · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Spencer Dinwiddie
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Fresh Threads
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 11,111
Hit 1.25%Wt 0.013
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Bogdan Bogdanović
Assist · Apr 4, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Dante Exum
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Zach Randolph
Layup · Apr 17, 2014
Archive Set
COMMONSummer 2021
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 20,000
Hit 3.75%Wt 0.038
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025