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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5783
Run It Back: 1970s Chance Hit Pack (Wave 1)
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.00
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $8.00
FMV coverage
—
0 editions
Depletion
95%
live pool
Packs remaining
243
of 4,998 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 8h ago4.9%unopened
Ultimate0 / 3 (0.0%)
Rare25 / 497 (5.0%)
Common698 / 14,494 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 25 / 497 | 3.5% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 698 / 14,494 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
pullable editionsMuggsy Bogues
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$39.59
Floor
$43.99
Mint 299
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Patrick Ewing
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$15.93
Floor
$12.99
Mint 399
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Damian Lillard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$14.26
Floor
$11.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
David Thompson
Run It Back: 1970s
RARE7
FMV
$14.25
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 14.29%Wt 0.016
Nate Thurmond
Run It Back: 1970s
RARE7
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 14.29%Wt 0.016
Joakim Noah
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Toni Kukoč
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$9.26
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Bob McAdoo
Run It Back: 1970s
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 17.86%Wt 0.021
Dwight Howard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.35
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Alexandre Sarr
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$8.03
Floor
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Pascal Siakam
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.96
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Andrea Bargnani
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.62
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.008
Connie Hawkins
Run It Back: 1970s
RARE7
FMV
$5.95
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 7.14%Wt 0.008
Matas Buzelis
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$3.97
Floor
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004
Reed Sheppard
Rookie Debut
COMMON7
FMV
$3.49
Floor
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.57%Wt 0.004