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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5915
Run It Back: 1970s Chance Hit Pack (Wave 3)
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.59 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.99 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
73 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
87
of 4,876 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 3 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.06
Rare9 / 491 (1.8%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · ≈ launch rate
Common252 / 14,134 (1.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 9 / 491 | 3.4% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 252 / 14,134 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 73 of 73 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Elvin Hayes
Dunk · Apr 30, 1979
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Bob Lanier
Dunk · Jan 30, 1978
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.15%Wt 0.011
Dave Cowens
Layup · Jun 4, 1976
Run It Back: 1970s
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.38%Wt 0.004
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Feb 2, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.79
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Toumani Camara
Block · Feb 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Keon Ellis
Steal · Mar 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.53%Wt 0.015
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.45%Wt 0.034
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Apr 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.60%Wt 0.046
Amen Thompson
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031
Keldon Johnson
Assist · Mar 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031
Bilal Coulibaly
Dunk · Dec 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.68%Wt 0.027
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Nov 10, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.023
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Apr 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.023
RJ Barrett
Assist · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Jerami Grant
Jump Shot · Oct 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.21%Wt 0.042
Tari Eason
Dunk · Mar 31, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031
Keegan Murray
Dunk · Nov 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.30%Wt 0.023
Malik Monk
Dunk · Mar 18, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Brandon Clarke
Dunk · Dec 8, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031
Davion Mitchell
Block · Feb 14, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.68%Wt 0.027
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 30, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Andrew Wiggins
Layup · Mar 23, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.07%Wt 0.031