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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6105
NBA Rookies and Stars Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.02 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.42 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
81 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 13h ago
Packs remaining
40
of 4,630 minted · as of 13h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 13h ago0.9%unopened
Legendary0 / 8 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.17
Rare1 / 212 (0.5%)
2.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.6 · 0.5× launch rate
Common119 / 13,039 (0.9%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 13h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 8 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 1 / 212 | 0.8% | ~1 in 40 |
| Common | 119 / 13,039 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 81 of 81 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Jan 7, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 599
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Toumani Camara
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.84
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Kevin Durant
Handles · Feb 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.24
Mint 500
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Anfernee Simons
Jump Shot · Dec 20, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Tyrese Haliburton
Assist · Jan 4, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.81
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,694
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Cody Williams
Layup · Oct 26, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Keon Ellis
Block · Dec 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.85
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Lauri Markkanen
Block · Nov 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.85
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Jan 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.82
Recent Low
$0.77
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Giannis Antetokounmpo
3 Pointer · Nov 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.74
Recent Low
$0.60
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Damian Lillard
Handles · Dec 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.70
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Mark Williams
Steal · Oct 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.66
Mint 500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Keon Ellis
Steal · Mar 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Bilal Coulibaly
Dunk · Dec 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 5.00%Wt 0.05
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Nov 10, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Jordan Poole
3 Pointer · Mar 29, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Shaedon Sharpe
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Apr 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.50%Wt 0.025
Jerami Grant
Jump Shot · Oct 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033