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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6226
Rookie Debut: Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$61.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $24.43 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $61.00 ask
Typical Pull
$14.00
Grail premium $10.43 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $61.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
43 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
27
of 1,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago2.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Rare4 / 230 (1.7%)
15 per 100 sealed packs · launch 23 · 0.6× launch rate
Common50 / 1,769 (2.8%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 4 / 230 | 7.4% | ~1 in 7 |
| Common | 50 / 1,769 | 93% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 43 of 43 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Tre Johnson
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$65.00
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Kon Knueppel
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$62.00
Recent Low
$56.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
VJ Edgecombe
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$52.64
Recent Low
$37.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 10
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Nique Clifford
Layup · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Carter Bryant
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$39.00
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Egor Dëmin
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$33.00
Recent Low
$52.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Hugo González
Layup · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$28.05
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Dennis Schröder
Steal · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$24.30
Recent Low
$27.00
Mint 25
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Collin Murray-Boyles
Layup · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Derik Queen
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Collin Murray-Boyles
Layup · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Cedric Coward
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Walker Kessler
Block · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Yang Hansen
Dunk · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Ben Saraf
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$11.25
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Jeremiah Fears
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.65
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Tre Johnson
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Will Riley
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Carter Bryant
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056
Khaman Maluach
Block · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Will Richard
Steal · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Chaz Lanier
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 5.56%Wt 0.056