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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6226

Rookie Debut: Premium Chance Hit

Common2 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$61.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

221

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

442

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Kon Knueppel · Rookie Debut	COMMON	28.57%	$101	69.7%
VJ Edgecombe · Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$43.01	14.8%
Hugo González · Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$12.80	4.4%
Egor Dëmin · Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$11.72	4.0%
Carter Bryant · Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$10.83	3.7%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $57.00 (90d)Last $59.00 · 1mo agoRetail $61.00247 sales · 2 in 90d

trades ~0.93× retail

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$61.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $61.00

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $61.00

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

97%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 1,000 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 6h ago

3.2%unopened

32 / 1,000 packs

Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)

Rare4 / 230 (1.7%)

Common54 / 1,769 (3.1%)

Pull odds by tier

2 slots/pack · as of 6h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Ultimate	0 / 1	0.0%	depleted
Rare	4 / 230	6.9%	~1 in 8
Common	54 / 1,769	93%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 6 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Kon Knueppel	Rookie Debut	COMMON	28.57%	$101	$57.71
VJ Edgecombe	Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$43.01	$12.29
Hugo González	Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$12.80	$3.66
Egor Dëmin	Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$11.72	$3.35
Carter Bryant	Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$10.83	$3.09
Tre Johnson	Rookie Debut	COMMON	14.29%	$9.45	$2.70

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 5:01:52 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.