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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6305
Top Shot Debut Chance Hit Pack
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$42.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.67 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $42.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $4.04 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $42.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
158 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
76
of 9,999 minted · as of 6h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 6h ago0.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Rare3 / 423 (0.7%)
3.9 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.2 · ≈ launch rate
Common225 / 29,572 (0.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 3 / 423 | 1.3% | ~1 in 26 |
| Common | 225 / 29,572 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 158 of 158 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kon Knueppel
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$185
Recent Low
—
Mint 50
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Ace Bailey
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$30.00
Recent Low
$22.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$24.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Collin Murray-Boyles
Layup · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$21.00
Recent Low
$39.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Anfernee Simons
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$20.50
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Lonzo Ball
Assist · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Nolan Traore
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Drake Powell
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Chaz Lanier
3 Pointer · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Sion James
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Ben Saraf
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Kevin Durant
Handles · Feb 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.24
Mint 500
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Nov 23, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 500
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Toumani Camara
Block · Feb 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Keyonte George
3 Pointer · Feb 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Keon Ellis
Steal · Mar 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.026
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Feb 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Jan 20, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Harrison Barnes
3 Pointer · Apr 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.63%Wt 0.026
Jordan Poole
3 Pointer · Mar 29, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Immanuel Quickley
3 Pointer · Nov 10, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Jerami Grant
Jump Shot · Oct 27, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.75%Wt 0.018
Bol Bol
3 Pointer · Mar 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022