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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6313
Rookie Debut: Chance Hit Pack II
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.75
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.35 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.75 ask
Typical Pull
$0.22
Grail premium $4.13 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.75 ask
FMV coverage
100%
81 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
93
of 15,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.6%unopened
Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Rare6 / 758 (0.8%)
6.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.1 · 1.3× launch rate
Common87 / 14,240 (0.6%)
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 758 | 6.5% | ~1 in 16 |
| Common | 87 / 14,240 | 94% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 81 of 81 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ace Bailey
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$88.00
Recent Low
$77.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Tre Johnson
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$65.00
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Nolan Traore
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$48.00
Recent Low
$26.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Zion Williamson
Steal · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 10
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Walter Clayton Jr.
Floater · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$32.00
Recent Low
$47.00
Mint 50
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Desmond Bane
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Carter Bryant
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$22.00
Recent Low
$48.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Michael Porter Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$16.90
Mint 249
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Assist · Oct 22, 2025
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Pascal Siakam
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Will Riley
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Jimmy Butler III
Dunk · Oct 21, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.78
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Ryan Kalkbrenner
Layup · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 99
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Tyrese Proctor
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Justin Edwards
Layup · Nov 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Austin Reaves
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
DeMar DeRozan
Block · Nov 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Peyton Watson
Block · Apr 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Chris Boucher
Jump Shot · Nov 26, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.27
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032
RJ Barrett
Assist · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Simone Fontecchio
Jump Shot · Mar 10, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Clint Capela
Dunk · Mar 1, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.15%Wt 0.022
Kyrie Irving
Jump Shot · Apr 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.23%Wt 0.032