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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6313

Rookie Debut: Chance Hit Pack II

Common1 slot

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$5.85] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

755

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

755

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$2.14

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.27

per pack we could price

Sealed (observed)

still unopened

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Ace Bailey · Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$23.86	100.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $4.00 (90d)Last $5.00 · 17d agoRetail $6.00810 sales · 6 in 90d

trades 0.67× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$5.85

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

Value ratio

—

EV last computed 25 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

99%

pool · as of 25d ago

Packs remaining

107

of 15,000 minted · as of 25d ago

Packs Content Remaining

pool · as of 25d ago

0.7%unopened

107 / 15,000 packs

Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)

Rare6 / 758 (0.8%)

Common100 / 14,240 (0.7%)

Pull odds by tier

1 slots/pack · as of 25d ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	0 / 2	0.0%	depleted
Rare	6 / 758	5.7%	~1 in 18
Common	100 / 14,240	94%	~1 in 1

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

Top purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
@Cheitib78	$7.00	98d ago
@Curry3pts	$7.00	148d ago
@Mitsu420	$6.00	46d ago
@user85595955	$6.00	102d ago
0x5310…66c8	$5.00	16d ago
@Quintenchen	$5.00	77d ago
@Conmat	$4.00	59d ago
@Quintenchen	$4.00	75d ago
@Mitsu420	$3.00	55d ago
@Cheitib78	$3.00	58d ago

Recent purchases

Buyer	Sale price	When
0x5310…66c8	$5.00	16d ago
@Mitsu420	$6.00	46d ago
@Mitsu420	$3.00	55d ago
@Cheitib78	$3.00	58d ago

Top pulls by EV

top 1 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Ace Bailey	Rookie Debut	COMMON	100.00%	$23.86	$23.86

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/27/2026, 10:49:15 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.