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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6314
Stars & Rookies: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$20.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.20 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $20.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.75
Grail premium $2.45 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $20.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
67 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
43
of 2,954 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.5%unopened
Legendary0 / 16 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.54
Rare3 / 200 (1.5%)
7.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 6.8 · ≈ launch rate
Common126 / 8,646 (1.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 16 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 3 / 200 | 2.3% | ~1 in 15 |
| Common | 126 / 8,646 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 67 of 67 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$28.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Scottie Barnes
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Alexandre Sarr
Dunk · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Austin Reaves
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$7.36
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 7, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$4.25
Mint 699
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Jalen Williams
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$4.80
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Devin Booker
Block · Jan 23, 2022
Squad Goals
RARESeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 476
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Ajay Mitchell
Assist · Oct 25, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Jabari Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Andrew Nembhard
Assist · Oct 21, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$3.34
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Dyson Daniels
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$2.75
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.016
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.016
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Layup · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.78%Wt 0.008
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.88
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.55%Wt 0.016
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.64
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 5.43%Wt 0.054
Steph Curry
Handles · Nov 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Assist · Jan 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.039
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Jan 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
Lauri Markkanen
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.031
Bam Adebayo
Block · Jan 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.031
Jrue Holiday
Jump Shot · Jan 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.88%Wt 0.039
Devin Booker
Layup · Feb 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.10%Wt 0.031