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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6418
Origins Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$13.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.54 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.50 ask
Typical Pull
$1.44
Grail premium $4.10 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $13.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
149 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
219
of 9,995 minted · as of 6h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 6h ago2.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Legendary2 / 103 (1.9%)
0.91 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0 · 0.9× launch rate
Rare12 / 730 (1.6%)
5.5 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.3 · 0.8× launch rate
Common643 / 29,148 (2.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 4 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 2 / 103 | 0.3% | ~1 in 110 |
| Rare | 12 / 730 | 1.8% | ~1 in 19 |
| Common | 643 / 29,148 | 98% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 149 of 149 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Russell Westbrook
Assist · Nov 15, 2025
Mojo
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$130
Recent Low
$65.00
Mint 44
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Kel'el Ware
Dunk · Oct 25, 2025
Mojo
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$122
Recent Low
$135
Mint 44
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Ace Bailey
Dunk · Nov 11, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$104
Recent Low
$116
Mint 25
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Will Riley
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$37.80
Recent Low
$42.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Oct 25, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$28.90
Recent Low
$34.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Josh Giddey
Layup · Oct 30, 2025
Equinox
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$26.10
Recent Low
$29.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Detlef Schrempf
Layup · Jan 11, 1995
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Russell Westbrook
Hustle · Nov 6, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Danny Wolf
Assist · Nov 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Nikola Jokić
Dunk · Nov 13, 2025
Equinox
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Maxime Raynaud
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.75
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Oct 29, 2025
Equinox
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Steph Curry
Assist · Oct 29, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26Club Collection
FMV
$10.50
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Stacey Augmon
Dunk · Jan 8, 1993
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Joan Beringer
Dunk · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Gheorghe Mureșan
Dunk · Nov 9, 1995
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$9.99
Mint 99
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Oct 25, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Jase Richardson
Floater · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.46%Wt 0.005
Detlef Schrempf
Layup · Jan 11, 1995
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Marcus Smart
Steal · Oct 25, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.60
Recent Low
$2.45
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Bo Outlaw
Dunk · Mar 7, 1998
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.89
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.91%Wt 0.009
Craig Porter Jr.
Steal · Nov 18, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.70
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Amen Thompson
Steal · Nov 13, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.89
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.07%Wt 0.011
Peyton Watson
Block · Oct 30, 2025
Clamps
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.32
Recent Low
$1.55
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.37%Wt 0.014