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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6936
Holo Icon Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.90
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.90 ask
Typical Pull
$0.87
Grail premium $1.18 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.90 ask
FMV coverage
100%
106 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
371
of 35,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.1%unopened
Ultimate0 / 4 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 38 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.11
Rare14 / 986 (1.4%)
3.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.8 · 1.3× launch rate
Common1,099 / 103,972 (1.1%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 4 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 38 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 14 / 986 | 1.3% | ~1 in 27 |
| Common | 1,099 / 103,972 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 106 of 106 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Derik Queen
Layup · Nov 20, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$84.15
Recent Low
$99.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Kobe Sanders
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$39.60
Recent Low
$44.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Luka Dončić
Steal · Dec 19, 2025
Marquee
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$32.99
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Jump Shot · Oct 23, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Mike Dunleavy
Layup · Dec 17, 2003
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$11.66
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Nov 8, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Nikola Vučević
3 Pointer · Nov 5, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$12.90
Mint 199
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
LaMelo Ball
Layup · Oct 26, 2025
Marquee
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.09%Wt 0.001
Daniss Jenkins
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.92
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.004
Bilal Coulibaly
Dunk · Dec 2, 2025
Marquee
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$8.99
Mint 249
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Kobe Sanders
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.80
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.36%Wt 0.004
Brandon Miller
Dunk · Nov 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.87
Recent Low
$0.64
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Assist · Oct 26, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Keshad Johnson
Dunk · Dec 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.30
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.63%Wt 0.006
Dominick Barlow
3 Pointer · Nov 15, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.72%Wt 0.007
Ja Morant
Assist · Nov 9, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.97
Recent Low
$0.97
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.81%Wt 0.008
Kel'el Ware
Layup · Nov 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.53
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025
Brice Sensabaugh
Dunk · Nov 30, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Yves Missi
Reel · Nov 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.80%Wt 0.018
Vít Krejčí
3 Pointer · Nov 19, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.16%Wt 0.022
James Harden
Assist · Dec 21, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Jericho Sims
Dunk · Nov 21, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.25%Wt 0.022
Paul George
Dunk · Jan 2, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.27
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.88%Wt 0.029
Amen Thompson
Layup · Jan 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026