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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6952

2026 Berlin Game: Chance Hit

Common5 slots

Buy on secondary market Buy on Dapper →← All packs

Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$14.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value.

Observed pack lifecycle

Packs opened

128

attributed rips · sample

Moments pulled

640

from opened packs

Realized pull value

$0.00

total, priced pulls

Avg / pack

$0.00

per pack we could price

What drives the remaining EV

Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.

Edition	Tier	Pull %	FMV	EV share
Franz Wagner · Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$8.00	68.0%
Daniel Theis · Base Set	COMMON	66.67%	$1.88	32.0%

EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.

Sealed pack resale

Median $9.00 (90d)Last $9.00 · 2mo agoRetail $14.00121 sales · 2 in 90d

trades 0.64× retail — secondary discount

Pack price

PrimarySOLD OUT

Secondary$14.00

Actual EV

—

≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $14.00

Value ratio

—

EV inflated by survivor bias (94% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $14.00

FMV coverage

—

0 editions

Depletion

94%

live pool

Packs remaining

of 500 minted

Packs Content Remaining

live pool · as of 8h ago

6.2%unopened

31 / 500 packs

Legendary0 / 6 (0.0%)

Rare1 / 36 (2.8%)

Common144 / 2,458 (5.9%)

Pull odds by tier

5 slots/pack · as of 8h ago

Tier	Remaining	% of pool	Odds / pack
Legendary	0 / 6	0.0%	depleted
Rare	1 / 36	0.7%	~1 in 29
Common	144 / 2,458	99%	~every pack

Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).

Top chases

highest-FMV pulls in this pack

What's Inside

pullable editions

Sales History

secondary pack sales

Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.

No traced sales yet for this pack.

Top pulls by EV

top 2 of 0

Player	Set	Tier	Drop %	FMV	Edition EV
Franz Wagner	Metallic Gold LE	RARE	33.33%	$8.00	$13.33
Daniel Theis	Base Set	COMMON	66.67%	$1.88	$6.27

Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 5:31:19 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.