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NBA Top Shot · Pack #6953
Black Friday: Stars & Rookies Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$7.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.23 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.72
Grail premium $0.51 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $7.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
99 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 6h ago
Packs remaining
131
of 9,872 minted · as of 6h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 6h ago1.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Common393 / 29,614 (1.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 6h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 393 / 29,614 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 99 of 99 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Egor Dëmin
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.90
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Evan Mobley
Layup · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Jalen Johnson
3 Pointer · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Brooks Barnhizer
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Yang Hansen
Dunk · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Ryan Nembhard
Jump Shot · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Davion Mitchell
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Devin Carter
Assist · Jan 4, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.48
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Bennedict Mathurin
Layup · Oct 19, 2022
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$2.42
Recent Low
$1.75
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Anthony Black
Jump Shot · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$2.17
Recent Low
$1.95
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Tyrese Proctor
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Assist · Dec 19, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$1.99
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.02%Wt 0.01
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.64
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.54%Wt 0.025
Franz Wagner
3 Pointer · Mar 18, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Patrick Williams
Steal · Jan 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.56%Wt 0.036
Lauri Markkanen
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.56%Wt 0.036
Wendell Carter Jr.
Layup · Mar 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.07%Wt 0.041
Aaron Gordon
Assist · Jan 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.29%Wt 0.023
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Mar 30, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.031
Aaron Nesmith
Steal · Dec 22, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.048
Jakob Poeltl
Block · Feb 15, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.83%Wt 0.048
Bam Adebayo
Block · Jan 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.05%Wt 0.031
Jalen Suggs
Assist · Jan 26, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.56%Wt 0.036