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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7154
All-Stars & Rising Stars Chance Hit Pack
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$15.65
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.99 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.65 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.89 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.65 ask
FMV coverage
100%
344 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
121
of 5,000 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago2.4%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.20
Rare6 / 245 (2.4%)
5.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.9 · ≈ launch rate
Common599 / 24,745 (2.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 245 | 1.0% | ~1 in 21 |
| Common | 599 / 24,745 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 344 of 344 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Kon Knueppel
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$151
Recent Low
$178
Mint 25
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Pascal Siakam
Reel · Jun 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Alex Sarr
Reel · Oct 24, 2024
2024-25 Honors
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 146
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Karl-Anthony Towns
Assist · Dec 17, 2025
Marquee
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Nov 30, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.90
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 386
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Kawhi Leonard
Handles · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Kel'el Ware
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Jaylon Tyson
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Yanic Konan Niederhäuser
Dunk · Oct 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Reed Sheppard
Jump Shot · Oct 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Jaylen Wells
3 Pointer · Oct 23, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$2.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.17%Wt 0.002
Brandon Miller
Dunk · Nov 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.46
Recent Low
$0.64
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Jan 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Luka Dončić
Assist · Mar 27, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.88
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Yves Missi
Reel · Nov 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Desmond Bane
Jump Shot · Dec 30, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Isaiah Livers
Dunk · Jan 29, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Ryan Dunn
Dunk · Nov 7, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.99%Wt 0.01
James Wiseman
Dunk · Feb 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.32%Wt 0.013
Jimmy Butler
Layup · Feb 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Joe Ingles
Layup · Mar 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.017
Luke Kennard
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.49%Wt 0.015
Malik Beasley
3 Pointer · Feb 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Kevin Porter Jr.
Jump Shot · Dec 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.65%Wt 0.017