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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7161
Heroes, Stars, and Rookies Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$12.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.25 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $12.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.15 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $12.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
170 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
60
of 5,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago1.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Rare3 / 476 (0.6%)
5.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.5 · 0.5× launch rate
Common297 / 24,517 (1.2%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 3 / 476 | 1.0% | ~1 in 20 |
| Common | 297 / 24,517 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this packWhat's Inside
FMV priced 170 of 170 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Carter Bryant
Steal · Nov 3, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$55.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Kyrie Irving
Steal · Feb 1, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.97
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.33%Wt 0.003
De'Aaron Fox
Layup · Jan 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
DeMar DeRozan
Block · Nov 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Nov 2, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.
Layup · Mar 12, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Assist · Jan 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Klay Thompson
3 Pointer · Mar 14, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Tobias Harris
3 Pointer · Nov 29, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.00%Wt 0.01
Kevin Huerter
Steal · Mar 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Buddy Hield
Dunk · Feb 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.33%Wt 0.023
DeMar DeRozan
Block · Nov 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
James Wiseman
Dunk · Feb 28, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 11, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Dillon Brooks
Block · Mar 10, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.12
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Cameron Johnson
Layup · Feb 16, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Malik Beasley
3 Pointer · Feb 24, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Tre Mann
3 Pointer · Oct 28, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.67%Wt 0.017
Joe Ingles
Layup · Mar 2, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Saddiq Bey
Dunk · Mar 7, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.00%Wt 0.03
Kevin Porter Jr.
Jump Shot · Dec 27, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Kevon Looney
Dunk · Mar 3, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Montrezl Harrell
Block · Jan 5, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
