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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7500
Rookies & Stars: Chance Hit Pack
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$19.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.28 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $6.23 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $19.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
52 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
34
of 5,000 minted · as of 8h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 8h ago0.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary0 / 11 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.22
Rare5 / 959 (0.5%)
15 per 100 sealed packs · launch 19 · 0.8× launch rate
Fandom0 / 6 (0.0%)
Common97 / 14,023 (0.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 11 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 5 / 959 | 4.9% | ~1 in 7 |
| Fandom | 0 / 6 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 97 / 14,023 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 52 of 52 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Victor Wembanyama
3 Pointer · Oct 26, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$141
Recent Low
$135
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Yang Hansen
Dunk · Oct 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Austin Reaves
Handles · Mar 11, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Derrick White
Block · Mar 10, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Seth Curry
Assist · Dec 27, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Horace Grant
Reel · May 1, 1994
Run It Back: Family Business
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Ausar Thompson
Block · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.50
Recent Low
$4.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Cole Anthony
Floater · Dec 29, 2024
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Spencer Jones
Assist · Jan 31, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Victor Wembanyama
Dunk · Nov 15, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Jamaree Bouyea
Steal · Jan 3, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.45
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
Jamal Cain
Dunk · Dec 31, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.22
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.01
De'Aaron Fox
Block · Jan 7, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.54
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Kevin Love
3 Pointer · Jan 13, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.96%Wt 0.02
Russell Westbrook
Layup · Oct 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Miles McBride
3 Pointer · Jan 4, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Nick Smith Jr.
3 Pointer · Nov 4, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Oso Ighodaro
Dunk · Jan 16, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Brandin Podziemski
Floater · Jan 18, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Tre Jones
Assist · Jan 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.94%Wt 0.029
Pelle Larsson
Dunk · Jan 18, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Cason Wallace
Steal · Dec 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Johnny Furphy
Dunk · Jan 7, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Jordan Miller
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039