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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7584
Courtside: Chance Hit
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.94
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.75 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.94
Typical Pull
$0.69
Grail premium $2.06 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (95% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $6.94
FMV coverage
100%
308 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 67d ago
Packs remaining
238
of 5,000 minted · as of 67d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 67d ago4.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)
Rare47 / 1,140 (4.1%)
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common664 / 13,854 (4.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 67d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 47 / 1,140 | 6.6% | ~1 in 5 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 664 / 13,854 | 93% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 308 of 308 (100%)Anthony Edwards
Base Set
COMMON2
FMV
$54.00
Floor
$51.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
The Champion's Path
COMMON5
FMV
$15.57
Floor
$12.00
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Ky Bowman
With the Strip
RARE1
FMV
$13.50
Floor
$15.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Jaylen Brown
Constellations
RARE8
FMV
$13.09
Floor
$9.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Michael Porter Jr.
Fresh Threads
RARE8
FMV
$12.55
Floor
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Damian Lillard
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$10.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Jimmy Butler III
Metallic Gold LE
RARE8
FMV
$10.40
Floor
$6.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$9.94
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Tyrese Haliburton
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$9.50
Floor
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Zion Williamson
Base Set
COMMON1
FMV
$8.71
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Zach LaVine
Metallic Gold LE
RARE7
FMV
$8.50
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Kawhi Leonard
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$8.25
Floor
$5.00
Mint 386
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Zion Williamson
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Mohamed Diawara
Rookie Debut
COMMON8
FMV
$7.75
Floor
$6.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
De'Aaron Fox
Metallic Gold LE
RARE5
FMV
$7.25
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Anfernee Simons
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Brandon Ingram
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
David Roddy
Throwdowns
RARE5
FMV
$7.00
Floor
$6.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Jayson Tatum
Video Game Numbers
RARE6
FMV
$6.99
Floor
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Video Game Numbers
RARE7
FMV
$6.87
Floor
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
Joel Embiid
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$6.83
Floor
$6.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.001
RJ Barrett
Throwdowns
RARE6
FMV
$4.14
Floor
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Luguentz Dort
For the Win
RARE5
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003