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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7584
Courtside: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.99
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.50 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.99 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $1.90 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.99 ask
FMV coverage
100%
341 editions
Depletion
96%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
222
of 5,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago4.4%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Rare42 / 1,140 (3.7%)
19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 23 · 0.8× launch rate
Fandom0 / 3 (0.0%)
Common624 / 13,854 (4.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 42 / 1,140 | 6.3% | ~1 in 6 |
| Fandom | 0 / 3 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 624 / 13,854 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 341 of 341 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Anthony Edwards
Layup · Dec 24, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$44.00
Recent Low
$43.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Jan 10, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$37.80
Recent Low
$42.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Jimmy Butler III
Layup · Nov 30, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$31.40
Recent Low
$34.89
Mint 25
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
LeBron James
Redemption
The Champion's Path
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 5,000
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Dec 31, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Mohamed Diawara
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$11.25
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Dec 3, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$10.34
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 12, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Reel · Dec 1, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.39
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Ky Bowman
Steal · Jan 9, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
De'Aaron Fox
3 Pointer · Nov 16, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
De'Aaron Fox
Steal · Feb 12, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Zion Williamson
Handles · Aug 9, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 1,500
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Jayson Tatum
Reel · Feb 14, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.69
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Brandon Ingram
Jump Shot · Dec 20, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Pascal Siakam
Reel · Dec 22, 2022
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 9, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.75
Mint 599
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Dec 9, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
David Roddy
Dunk · Apr 1, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Ja Morant
Steal · Jan 8, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 3,164
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Nov 30, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.90
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 386
Hit 0.15%Wt 0.002
RJ Barrett
Dunk · Feb 5, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.94
Mint 699
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003
Luguentz Dort
Reel · Mar 22, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 777
Hit 0.30%Wt 0.003