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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7586
Debut Overload: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.40 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $4.80 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
94 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 5h ago
Packs remaining
39
of 5,000 minted · as of 5h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 5h ago0.8%unopened
Rare9 / 799 (1.1%)
23 per 100 sealed packs · launch 16 · 1.4× launch rate
Common108 / 14,201 (0.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 5h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Rare | 9 / 799 | 7.7% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 108 / 14,201 | 92% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 94 of 94 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Collin Murray-Boyles
Block · Jan 19, 2026
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$89.57
Recent Low
$99.52
Mint 129
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Jan 8, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 1,800
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Coby White
Assist · Oct 26, 2019
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Oct 25, 2023
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Justin Edwards
Dunk · Mar 20, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Andrew Bogut
Block · Nov 30, 2005
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Yves Missi
Dunk · Nov 1, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.88
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 246
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Deni Avdija
3 Pointer · Feb 23, 2021
Rising Stars
RARESeries 2
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Brandon Roy
Handles · Nov 2, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Kam Jones
Floater · Dec 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.37
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Omri Casspi
3 Pointer · Dec 29, 2015
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.97
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Vortex
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Collin Sexton
Dunk · Mar 9, 2019
Archive Set 2014-19
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Dec 4, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Luka Dončić
Assist · Oct 27, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.47
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.85%Wt 0.009
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Cole Anthony
Jump Shot · Dec 24, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Mario Chalmers
Jump Shot · Jan 15, 2016
Archive Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,500
Hit 1.71%Wt 0.017
Ivica Zubac
Assist · Nov 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.42%Wt 0.034
Andre Iguodala
Assist · Nov 6, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Nov 16, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026