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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7587
Rookie Overload: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.95
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.95 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $3.27 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.95 ask
FMV coverage
100%
176 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
70
of 10,000 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago0.7%unopened
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Rare19 / 1,827 (1.0%)
27 per 100 sealed packs · launch 18 · 1.5× launch rate
Common191 / 28,168 (0.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 19 / 1,827 | 9.0% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 191 / 28,168 | 91% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 176 of 176 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$32.75
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Steph Curry
Assist · Apr 10, 2024
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$19.80
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 250
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Anthony Edwards
Steal · Nov 11, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 422
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Dec 31, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Karlo Matkovic
Dunk · Mar 20, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 12, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Immanuel Quickley
Assist · Mar 8, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$8.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Jonathan Mogbo
Dunk · Dec 20, 2024
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Kevin Durant
Jump Shot · Apr 28, 2012
The Anthology: Kevin Durant
RARESeries 4
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Mitchell Robinson
Dunk · Jan 7, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
DeAndre Jordan
Dunk · Jan 3, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$7.65
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Jamal Murray
Layup · Feb 29, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Aug 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,681
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Devin Booker
Hook Shot · Jan 30, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Kyrie Irving
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Kawhi Leonard
Layup · Dec 21, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Zach LaVine
3 Pointer · Jan 7, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Gary Harris
Steal · Feb 26, 2020
With the Strip
RARESeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Domantas Sabonis
Layup · Jan 30, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Ja Morant
Handles · Jan 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24Explosion
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.48%Wt 0.005
Austin Rivers
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Daniel Gafford
Layup · Mar 8, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 4Rippled
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.38%Wt 0.024