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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7716
Rookie Destiny: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$100
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.05 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $100 ask
Typical Pull
$0.78
Grail premium $4.27 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $100 ask
FMV coverage
100%
54 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
44
of 10,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.4%unopened
Legendary1 / 38 (2.6%)
2.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.38 · 6.0× launch rate
Rare9 / 1,924 (0.5%)
20 per 100 sealed packs · launch 19 · ≈ launch rate
Common122 / 28,038 (0.4%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 38 | 0.8% | ~1 in 44 |
| Rare | 9 / 1,924 | 6.8% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 122 / 28,038 | 92% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 54 of 54 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
3 Pointer · Dec 30, 2025
Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$112
Recent Low
$118
Mint 44
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Giannis Antetokounmpo
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2021
2021 All-Star Game
RARESeries 2
FMV
$14.50
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 460
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Steph Curry
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2025
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Jayson Tatum
Jump Shot · Dec 14, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Tyrese Maxey
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Mar 8, 2021
2021 All-Star Game
RARESeries 2
FMV
$6.35
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 2,021
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Kyrie Irving
Assist · Nov 9, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Feb 9, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.75
Mint 599
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Devin Booker
Jump Shot · Mar 20, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
Luka Dončić
Assist · Nov 3, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.74
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Andrew Nembhard
Layup · Feb 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.52%Wt 0.015
Reed Sheppard
3 Pointer · Jan 21, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
T.J. McConnell
Jump Shot · Jan 24, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Feb 8, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Daniel Gafford
Dunk · Jan 7, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.09
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045
Keon Ellis
Dunk · Feb 20, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
Josh Giddey
Assist · Dec 18, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Michael Porter Jr.
Steal · Jan 30, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Mikal Bridges
Assist · Feb 8, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
Quinten Post
Assist · Nov 10, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.79%Wt 0.038
Josh Green
Assist · Jan 26, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Jaime Jaquez Jr.
Dunk · Dec 20, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · Feb 10, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.55%Wt 0.045