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NBA Top Shot · Pack #7718
Debuts & Stars: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.11
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.31 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.11 ask
Typical Pull
$0.75
Grail premium $3.56 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.11 ask
FMV coverage
100%
65 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 16m ago
Packs remaining
51
of 5,000 minted · as of 16m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 16m ago1.0%unopened
Legendary0 / 23 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.46
Rare12 / 912 (1.3%)
24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 18 · 1.3× launch rate
Common141 / 14,065 (1.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 16m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 23 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 12 / 912 | 7.8% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 141 / 14,065 | 92% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 65 of 65 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Zion Williamson
Block · Jan 25, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$29.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 1,357
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$22.50
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Anthony Edwards
Reel · Apr 10, 2024
2023-24 Honors
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$18.90
Recent Low
$27.50
Mint 250
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Scottie Barnes
Layup · Oct 20, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Noah Penda
3 Pointer · Oct 27, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Reel · Jan 16, 2023
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 4
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$13.00
Mint 289
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Dec 17, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Trae Young
Reel · Nov 23, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Jan 14, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Tyrese Maxey
3 Pointer · Apr 30, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.50
Mint 758
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Jayson Tatum
Dunk · Nov 2, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Ja Morant
Dunk · Mar 1, 2022
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 539
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Feb 21, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Karl-Anthony Towns
Reel · Jan 23, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.89
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
James Harden
Reel · Apr 28, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 702
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
PJ Hall
Dunk · Jan 6, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.50
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.007
Donovan Clingan
Dunk · Feb 23, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.35
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Luka Dončić
Assist · Nov 3, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.74
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.31%Wt 0.013
Andrew Nembhard
Layup · Feb 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Ty Jerome
Jump Shot · Feb 3, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.61%Wt 0.026
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Feb 8, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Kevin Durant
3 Pointer · Jan 10, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Dwight Powell
Dunk · Mar 2, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039
Darius Garland
3 Pointer · Mar 3, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.92%Wt 0.039