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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8422
Rookie Rumble: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.02 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.26
Grail premium $0.76 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
61 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
61
of 10,000 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago0.6%unopened
Legendary0 / 130 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.3
Rare13 / 1,988 (0.7%)
21 per 100 sealed packs · launch 20 · ≈ launch rate
Common170 / 27,882 (0.6%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 130 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 13 / 1,988 | 7.1% | — |
| Common | 170 / 27,882 | 93% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 61 of 61 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Tre Johnson
Floater · Jan 28, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$19.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Nolan Traore
Layup · Feb 7, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.75
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 129
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
LaMelo Ball
Reel · Feb 22, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.49
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Jayson Tatum
3 Pointer · Mar 29, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.40
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Alperen Sengun
Assist · Jan 17, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Jarrett Allen
Block · Feb 2, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Egor Dëmin
3 Pointer · Oct 22, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.90
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.011
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 1, 2020
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 2,983
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Chaz Lanier
3 Pointer · Nov 11, 2025
Origins
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$14.75
Mint 129
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Karl-Anthony Towns
Assist · Dec 17, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$15.26
Mint 299
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Pascal Siakam
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Jimmy Butler III
Dunk · Oct 21, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.78
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Derrick Coleman
Dunk · Feb 16, 1991
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.09%Wt 0.011
Andrea Bargnani
Dunk · Feb 5, 2007
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Tristan da Silva
Dunk · Mar 11, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.56
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Leonard Miller
Dunk · Mar 24, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.64%Wt 0.016
Collin Sexton
3 Pointer · Mar 9, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.27
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Jarred Vanderbilt
Dunk · Mar 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.033
Max Christie
3 Pointer · Jan 19, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Mar 17, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Jeff Green
Dunk · Feb 6, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.37%Wt 0.044
Zion Williamson
Block · Mar 14, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.37%Wt 0.044
Kelly Olynyk
Dunk · Jan 3, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.37%Wt 0.044
Josh Hart
Assist · Mar 4, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.033