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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8433
Rookie Rush: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.50
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.27 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.50 ask
Typical Pull
$0.28
Grail premium $1.99 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.50 ask
FMV coverage
100%
61 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
113
of 20,000 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago0.6%unopened
Legendary1 / 72 (1.4%)
0.88 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.36 · 2.5× launch rate
Rare22 / 2,826 (0.8%)
19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 14 · 1.4× launch rate
Fandom0 / 6 (0.0%)
Common90 / 17,096 (0.5%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 72 | 0.9% | — |
| Rare | 22 / 2,826 | 19% | — |
| Fandom | 0 / 6 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Common | 90 / 17,096 | 80% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 61 of 61 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Norman Powell
Layup · Feb 22, 2026
Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$25.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Rudy Gobert
Jump Shot · Oct 20, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$24.95
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Devin Booker
Steal · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$15.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Dec 7, 2019
Base Set
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 3,999
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Layup · Nov 8, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.85
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Jan 17, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.45
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Chet Holmgren
Block · Feb 22, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.53
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Anthony Davis
Dunk · Nov 14, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Jan 28, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.50
Mint 888
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Fred VanVleet
3 Pointer · Dec 2, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Block · Dec 14, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 226
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Ja Morant
Layup · Dec 20, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.32
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 453
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Kyle Filipowski
Assist · Nov 12, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26Club Collection
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Kawhi Leonard
Handles · Jan 26, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Shaedon Sharpe
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Donovan Mitchell
3 Pointer · Oct 25, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Rik Smits
Jump Shot · May 29, 1995
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Rui Hachimura
Dunk · Mar 25, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Cuttino Mobley
Dunk · Jan 25, 2002
Vintage Vibes
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Miles McBride
Dunk · Jan 28, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Gerald Wallace
Block · Nov 27, 2005
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Josh Hart
Layup · Feb 24, 2020
Early Adopters
COMMONSeries 1
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,325
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009
Paolo Banchero
Dunk · Feb 28, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.88%Wt 0.009