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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8511
2026 NBA Playoffs: Premium Chance Hit
Rare
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$73.00
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $73.00
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (92% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $73.00
FMV coverage
—
0 editions
Depletion
92%
live pool
Packs remaining
49
of 600 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 4h ago8.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
Legendary2 / 28 (7.1%)
Rare115 / 1,771 (6.5%)
Common117 / 1,800 (6.5%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 4h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 2 / 28 | 0.9% | — |
| Rare | 115 / 1,771 | 49% | — |
| Common | 117 / 1,800 | 50% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
pullable editionsVince Carter
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARY8
FMV
$218
Floor
$141
Mint 50
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.02
Gilbert Arenas
Run It Back: Playoff Classics
LEGENDARY8
FMV
$149
Floor
$175
Mint 45
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.02
Victor Wembanyama
Throwdowns
RARE8
FMV
$24.02
Floor
$19.00
Mint 284
Hit 50.00%Wt 0.102
Keldon Johnson
Throwdowns
RARE8
FMV
$5.19
Floor
$4.00
Mint 284
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.02
Victor Wembanyama
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMON8
FMV
$2.20
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.02
LeBron James
Base Set
COMMON8
FMV
$0.95
Floor
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.02