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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8512
2026 NBA Playoffs: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.80
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.35 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.80 ask
Typical Pull
$0.19
Grail premium $0.16 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 96% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.80 ask
FMV coverage
100%
152 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 9h ago
Packs remaining
404
of 20,000 minted · as of 9h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 9h ago2.0%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 7 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Rare16 / 813 (2.0%)
4.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.1 · ≈ launch rate
Common2,004 / 99,179 (2.0%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 9h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 7 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 16 / 813 | 0.8% | — |
| Common | 2,004 / 99,179 | 99% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 152 of 152 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Apr 29, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$13.90
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Apr 25, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26Blockchain
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Apr 6, 2026
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$8.00
Recent Low
$5.99
Mint 249
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
Tyrese Maxey
Layup · Jan 30, 2026
For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.05%Wt 0
LeBron James
3 Pointer · Apr 25, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.20%Wt 0.002
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Apr 29, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$2.99
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.004
Max Strus
Steal · May 9, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.44
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Stephon Castle
Assist · Apr 25, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.50%Wt 0.005
Jalen Brunson
Reel · May 10, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.45%Wt 0.004
Scottie Barnes
Dunk · May 1, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.95
Recent Low
$0.43
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 18, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.75
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Desmond Bane
3 Pointer · Apr 28, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.71
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Paolo Banchero
3 Pointer · Apr 25, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.59%Wt 0.006
Evan Mobley
Dunk · May 9, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.79%Wt 0.008
Zach Edey
Dunk · Dec 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.68%Wt 0.017
Baylor Scheierman
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Isaac Okoro
Dunk · Jan 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.13%Wt 0.021
Larry Nance Jr.
Dunk · Apr 5, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Dean Wade
Dunk · Dec 24, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.88%Wt 0.019
Gui Santos
Steal · Mar 8, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.72%Wt 0.027
Pascal Siakam
Jump Shot · Feb 11, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
AJ Johnson
Dunk · Apr 11, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.23%Wt 0.022
Cameron Johnson
Dunk · Dec 20, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.18%Wt 0.022
Jae'Sean Tate
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.52%Wt 0.025