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Home › NBA Top Shot › WNBA Rookie Debut Premium Chance Hit NBA Top Shot · Pack #8528
WNBA Rookie Debut Premium Chance Hit Common
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$119] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $119
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $119
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (93% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $119
Packs remaining
14
of 200 minted
Packs Content Remaining live pool · as of 9h ago
Pull odds by tier per pack · as of 9h ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Ultimate 0 / 2 0.0% depleted Legendary 1 / 11 2.4% — Rare 5 / 106 12% — Common 36 / 1,281 86% —
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside pullable editions FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (25)
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Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 0 47d ago
Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 2:43:10 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
181
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
1,267
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$9,381
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$51.83
per pack we could price
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
Edition Tier Pull % FMV EV share Gabby Williams · WNBA Origins LEGENDARY 25.00% $185 56.9% Olivia Miles · WNBA Rookie Debut COMMON 50.00% $55.72 34.3% Azzi Fudd · WNBA Rookie Debut COMMON 25.00% $28.81 8.9%
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sealed pack resale Median $100 (90d) Last $98.00 · 7d ago Retail $119 124 sales · 124 in 90d
trades 0.84× retail — secondary discount 
