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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8549
2026 NBA Finals: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.94
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.55 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.94 ask
Typical Pull
$0.17
Grail premium $0.38 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $5.94 ask
FMV coverage
100%
95 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 23h ago
Packs remaining
237
of 12,500 minted · as of 23h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 23h ago1.9%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 11 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.09
Rare43 / 1,897 (2.3%)
18 per 100 sealed packs · launch 15 · 1.2× launch rate
Common668 / 35,591 (1.9%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 11 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 43 / 1,897 | 6.0% | — |
| Common | 668 / 35,591 | 94% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 95 of 95 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Reed Sheppard
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$17.10
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
LeBron James
Jump Shot · Dec 8, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Steph Curry
Hook Shot · Nov 13, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Nikola Jokić
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.75
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Jan 22, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.48
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Lauri Markkanen
Floater · Nov 17, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.95
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Mar 14, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Jalen Brunson
Floater · Apr 6, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Austin Reaves
Layup · Nov 29, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.48
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Jun 11, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 0.70%Wt 0.007
Jaylen Brown
3 Pointer · Mar 16, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.99
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
LaMelo Ball
3 Pointer · Dec 31, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jamal Murray
Jump Shot · Mar 25, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.49
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Paul George
3 Pointer · Jan 28, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.40
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Tyler Herro
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.42%Wt 0.004
Duncan Robinson
3 Pointer · Nov 13, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.99
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Devin Booker
Layup · Mar 16, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
AJ Green
3 Pointer · Apr 11, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jay Huff
3 Pointer · Nov 30, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Saddiq Bey
Floater · Feb 27, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Toumani Camara
3 Pointer · Mar 24, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.28%Wt 0.003
Jusuf Nurkić
Assist · Jan 23, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.66%Wt 0.037
John Konchar
Steal · Apr 11, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.09%Wt 0.031