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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8550
2026 NBA Finals: Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Rare
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$73.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $7.04 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $73.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.99
Grail premium $6.05 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 93% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $73.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
89 editions
Depletion
93%
pool · as of 12m ago
Packs remaining
33
of 500 minted · as of 12m ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 12m ago6.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.40
Legendary3 / 48 (6.3%)
9.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.6 · ≈ launch rate
Rare63 / 950 (6.6%)
191 per 100 sealed packs · launch 190 · ≈ launch rate
Common99 / 1,500 (6.6%)
Pull odds by tier
per pack · as of 12m ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 3 / 48 | 1.8% | — |
| Rare | 63 / 950 | 38% | — |
| Common | 99 / 1,500 | 60% | — |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across the slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 89 of 89 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Victor Wembanyama
Block · Jun 9, 2026
2026 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$425
Recent Low
$450
Mint 39
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Karl-Anthony Towns
Assist · Jun 6, 2026
2026 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$153
Recent Low
$170
Mint 39
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Landry Shamet
3 Pointer · Jun 6, 2026
2026 NBA Finals
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$65.50
Recent Low
$56.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Jan 22, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$40.50
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Victor Wembanyama
Reel · Mar 6, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$39.00
Recent Low
$20.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Devin Booker
Layup · Mar 16, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$29.70
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 10
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Alperen Sengun
Assist · Mar 29, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$22.50
Recent Low
$25.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Jun 11, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26Hardcourt
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$41.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
3 Pointer · Mar 16, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$17.10
Recent Low
$19.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
LeBron James
Jump Shot · Dec 8, 2025
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$16.00
Recent Low
$14.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Luka Dončić
3 Pointer · Mar 20, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.89
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Steph Curry
Hook Shot · Nov 13, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
Layup · Jan 22, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.48
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Jarrett Allen
Hook Shot · Feb 2, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · Nov 6, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.99
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jarrett Allen
Hook Shot · Feb 2, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.95
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Sam Merrill
3 Pointer · Feb 12, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Karl-Anthony Towns
Hook Shot · Nov 25, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Jun 11, 2026
2026 NBA Playoffs
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 1,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
OG Anunoby
Steal · Mar 7, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024
Reed Sheppard
3 Pointer · Mar 6, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Devin Booker
Layup · Mar 16, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 249
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Jalen Pickett
3 Pointer · Jan 6, 2026
Heat Check
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 249
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024
Saddiq Bey
Floater · Feb 27, 2026
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 249
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024