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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8748
Historical Chance Hit: Anthology Edition
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$8.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.87 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.51
Grail premium $2.36 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 95% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $8.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
113 editions
Depletion
95%
pool · as of 20h ago
Packs remaining
128
of 2,750 minted · as of 20h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 20h ago4.7%unopened
Legendary1 / 32 (3.1%)
0.78 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.2 · 0.7× launch rate
Rare17 / 334 (5.1%)
13 per 100 sealed packs · launch 12 · ≈ launch rate
Common366 / 7,884 (4.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 20h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 32 | 0.3% | ~1 in 128 |
| Rare | 17 / 334 | 4.4% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 366 / 7,884 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 113 of 113 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Rajon Rondo
Steal · May 22, 2010
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2023-24
FMV
$55.00
Recent Low
$50.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Larry Bird
Jump Shot · May 6, 1991
The Anthology: Larry Bird
RARESeries 4
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$33.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
LeBron James
Dunk · Dec 10, 2023
The Anthology: LeBron James
RARESeries 4
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$26.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Magic Johnson
Assist · Jan 4, 1988
The Anthology: Magic Johnson
RARESeries 4
FMV
$30.00
Recent Low
$23.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Clyde Drexler
Dunk · Dec 10, 1986
Run It Back 1986-87
RARESeries 4
FMV
$23.00
Recent Low
$22.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Trae Young
Jump Shot · Mar 31, 2019
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.50
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Joel Embiid
Block · Jan 14, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Alex English
Layup · Jan 24, 1987
Run It Back 1986-87
RARESeries 4
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Jerry Stackhouse
Dunk · Feb 22, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Elton Brand
Dunk · Apr 15, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Nate Robinson
3 Pointer · Nov 26, 2005
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Stephon Marbury
Assist · Apr 1, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Robert Parish
Dunk · Apr 19, 1996
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Sleepy Floyd
Layup · May 10, 1987
Run It Back 1986-87
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Carlos Boozer
Dunk · Mar 26, 2007
Run It Back
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Morris Peterson
3 Pointer · Feb 4, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Mike Bibby
Jump Shot · Jan 30, 2006
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$5.95
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Joakim Noah
Dunk · Feb 10, 2019
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.80
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Zach Edey
Dunk · Dec 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Jusuf Nurkić
Assist · Jan 23, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Guerschon Yabusele
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023
Cameron Johnson
Dunk · Dec 20, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Sam Hauser
3 Pointer · Jan 18, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.86%Wt 0.029
Bobby Portis
3 Pointer · Dec 12, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.34%Wt 0.023