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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8749
Historical Chance Hit: Series 1 & Deck The Hoops
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary—
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.46 ceiling · pool 99% depleted — survivor-biased
Typical Pull
$0.63
Grail premium $1.83 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
survivor-biased — not meaningful
FMV coverage
100%
71 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 19h ago
Packs remaining
36
of 3,500 minted · as of 19h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 19h ago1.0%unopened
Legendary0 / 37 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.1
Rare7 / 495 (1.4%)
19 per 100 sealed packs · launch 14 · 1.4× launch rate
Common101 / 9,968 (1.0%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 37 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 7 / 495 | 6.5% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 101 / 9,968 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 71 of 71 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Paul Pierce
Block · May 4, 2014
Run It Back
RARESeries 1
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$29.00
Mint 275
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Alperen Sengun
Jump Shot · Oct 21, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Feb 6, 2026
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Alperen Sengun
Assist · Jan 17, 2026
Constellations
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Jaden McDaniels
Dunk · Oct 22, 2025
Season Tip-Off
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Ryan Rollins
3 Pointer · Oct 31, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Chet Holmgren
Layup · Dec 11, 2025
Marquee
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 249
Hit 0.93%Wt 0.009
Zach Edey
Dunk · Dec 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.40
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Jusuf Nurkić
Assist · Jan 23, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Doug McDermott
3 Pointer · Mar 12, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Rayan Rupert
Floater · Apr 5, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Isaiah Joe
Dunk · Feb 4, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Ben Sheppard
Assist · Apr 2, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Lindy Waters III
3 Pointer · Apr 7, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 4.63%Wt 0.046
Caris LeVert
3 Pointer · Apr 1, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Ja'Kobe Walter
Dunk · Nov 23, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Feb 27, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Apr 2, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Obi Toppin
3 Pointer · Apr 12, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Dorian Finney-Smith
Layup · Jan 19, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Isaiah Jackson
Dunk · Mar 15, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Jabari Walker
3 Pointer · Mar 5, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.85%Wt 0.019
Patrick Williams
Dunk · Jan 25, 2026
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2025-26
FMV
$0.16
Recent Low
$0.10
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028