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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8756
Run It Back: Origins Premium Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Rare1 slot
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$89.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $37.45 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $89.00 ask
Typical Pull
$27.00
Grail premium $10.45 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $89.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
9 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
10
of 390 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago2.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 2 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.51
Legendary1 / 55 (1.8%)
10 per 100 sealed packs · launch 14 · 0.7× launch rate
Rare9 / 368 (2.4%)
90 per 100 sealed packs · launch 94 · ≈ launch rate
Pull odds by tier
1 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 2 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 55 | 10% | ~1 in 10 |
| Rare | 9 / 368 | 90% | ~1 in 1 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 1 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 9 of 9 (100%)Joe Dumars
Floater · Apr 28, 1989
Run It Back: Legacies
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$150
Recent Low
$95.00
Mint 44
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
LeBron James
Layup · May 31, 2007
The Anthology: LeBron James
RARESeries 4
FMV
$63.99
Recent Low
$57.00
Mint 199
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Hersey Hawkins
3 Pointer · Jan 8, 1989
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 10
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Steph Curry
Layup · Jun 5, 2017
The Anthology: Steph Curry
RARESeries 4
FMV
$36.00
Recent Low
$28.00
Mint 199
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Ray Allen
Dunk · Nov 13, 1996
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$28.00
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 25
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Carlos Arroyo
Jump Shot · Mar 28, 2004
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$27.00
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 10
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Jeff Malone
3 Pointer · Jan 4, 1984
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 10
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Jeff Malone
3 Pointer · Jan 4, 1984
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 25
Hit 10.00%Wt 0.1
Milt Palacio
3 Pointer · Dec 29, 2000
Run It Back: For The Win
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 25
Hit 20.00%Wt 0.2