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NBA Top Shot · Pack #8783
WNBA Rookie Revelation Chance Hit Pack
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$16.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $5.17 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $16.49 ask
Typical Pull
$0.80
Grail premium $4.37 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 92% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $16.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
205 editions
Depletion
92%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
975
of 12,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago8.1%unopened
Ultimate2 / 6 (33%)
0.21 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05 · 4.1× launch rate
Legendary22 / 170 (13%)
2.3 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.4 · 1.6× launch rate
Rare292 / 3,414 (8.6%)
30 per 100 sealed packs · launch 28 · ≈ launch rate
Common4,559 / 56,410 (8.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 2 / 6 | <0.1% | ~1 in 488 |
| Legendary | 22 / 170 | 0.5% | ~1 in 45 |
| Rare | 292 / 3,414 | 6.0% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 4,559 / 56,410 | 94% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 205 of 205 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Lauren Jackson
Jump Shot · May 31, 2001
WNBA Supernova
ULTIMATESeries 2025-26
FMV
$199
Recent Low
$280
Mint 10
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Olivia Miles
Assist · Jul 28, 2026
WNBA Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26Jukebox
FMV
$153
Recent Low
$180
Mint 10
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Azzi Fudd
Steal · Jun 22, 2026
WNBA Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$150
Recent Low
$141
Mint 29
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Paige Bueckers
Reel · Jul 10, 2026
WNBA Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$130
Recent Low
$110
Mint 39
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Flau'jae Johnson
3 Pointer · Jul 20, 2026
WNBA Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$128
Recent Low
$75.00
Mint 29
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Veronica Burton
Layup · Aug 7, 2026
WNBA Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$90.00
Recent Low
$74.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Olivia Miles
Assist · Jul 28, 2026
WNBA Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26Hexwave
FMV
$77.00
Recent Low
$76.00
Mint 25
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Gabriela Jaquez
Hook Shot · Jun 17, 2026
WNBA Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$75.00
Recent Low
$69.00
Mint 29
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Sydney Taylor
3 Pointer · Aug 21, 2026
WNBA Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$70.00
Recent Low
$65.00
Mint 29
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Olivia Miles
Assist · Jul 28, 2026
WNBA Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$55.00
Recent Low
$45.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Sonia Citron
Block · Aug 7, 2026
WNBA Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$45.00
Recent Low
$26.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Aliyah Boston
Reel · Aug 18, 2026
WNBA Holo Icon
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$42.50
Recent Low
$38.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Rae Burrell
Steal · Aug 11, 2026
WNBA Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.04%Wt 0
Ezi Magbegor
Hook Shot · Aug 16, 2026
WNBA Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2025-26
FMV
$35.00
Recent Low
$30.00
Mint 39
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Azzi Fudd
Reel · May 24, 2026
WNBA Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$20.00
Recent Low
$17.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Kiki Rice
Layup · Aug 12, 2026
WNBA Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$18.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.06%Wt 0.001
Caitlin Clark
3 Pointer · Aug 28, 2026
WNBA Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$12.50
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Paige Bueckers
3 Pointer · Aug 23, 2026
WNBA Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Angel Reese
Steal · Aug 22, 2026
WNBA Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$10.99
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.002
Laeticia Amihere
Steal · Aug 21, 2026
Level Up
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$9.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Jordan Horston
Block · Aug 26, 2026
Level Up
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.31%Wt 0.003
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
Layup · Jun 8, 2026
Level Up
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.23%Wt 0.002
Kaitlyn Chen
Layup · Jul 15, 2026
Level Up
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Rebekah Gardner
Layup · Aug 27, 2026
Level Up
RARESeries 2025-26
FMV
$5.80
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 149
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002