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Home › NBA Top Shot › Minnesota Timberwolves 2024 Playoff Pack NBA Top Shot · Pack #1266
Minnesota Timberwolves 2024 Playoff Pack Fandom 3 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$27.00] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Actual EV
—
≈ $18.75 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $27.00
Typical Pull
$18.90
Median pull ≈ Actual EV — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (96% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $27.00
FMV coverage
100%
3 editions
Packs remaining
57
of 1,613 minted
Packs Content Remaining live pool · as of 19d ago
Pull odds by tier 3 slots/pack · as of 19d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Legendary 0 / 10 0.0% depleted Rare 6 / 175 3.5% ~1 in 10 Fandom 114 / 3,226 67% ~1 in 1 Common 51 / 1,428 30% ~1 in 2
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside FMV priced 3 of 3 (100%) FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (37)
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Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 3 79d ago
Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/5/2026, 11:13:00 PM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
293
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
866
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$145
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$11.15
per pack we could price
EV reality check Modeled $18.75 /pack vs realized $11.02 avg · $11.63 median · $12.44 p90 (0.59×)
Calibrated estimate $16.05 /pack model blended toward observed pulls
Model over-values vs actual pulls · 13 attributed opens
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
⚠ 98% of the remaining EV leans on thinly-traded chase prices — treat it as soft.
Edition Tier Pull % FMV EV share — · The Champion's Path 2024 FANDOM 95.00% $6.30 96.1% Mikal Bridges · For the Win RARE 3.33% $4.14 2.2% Kawhi Leonard · For the Win
Sealed pack resale Last $37.00 · 2y ago Retail $19.00 279 sales
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.