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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5063
Chasing For The Win & Denied!: Rewind
Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$5.94
Actual EV
$1.41
Net −$4.53 vs ask · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.94
Typical Pull
$0.72
Grail premium $0.69 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
0.24x
-76.3% margin · EV inflated by survivor bias (85% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $5.94
FMV coverage
100%
741 editions
Depletion
85%
pool · as of 66d ago
Packs remaining
1,675
of 11,000 minted · as of 66d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 66d ago15%unopened
Legendary3 / 11 (27%)
Rare170 / 1,100 (15%)
Common4,852 / 31,889 (15%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 66d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 3 / 11 | <0.1% | ~1 in 559 |
| Rare | 170 / 1,100 | 3.4% | ~1 in 10 |
| Common | 4,852 / 31,889 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 741 of 741 (100%)Coby White
Holo Icon
LEGENDARY6
FMV
$89.10
Floor
$99.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Nic Claxton
Ascension
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$58.65
Floor
$69.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
Malik Monk
Ascension
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$55.80
Floor
$62.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.02%Wt 0
OG Anunoby
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$8.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
John Collins
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$7.68
Floor
$7.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Jalen Duren
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.84
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Kevin Durant
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Gary Payton II
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$6.00
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
Amen Thompson
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.00
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Evan Mobley
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.95
Floor
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.08%Wt 0.001
GG Jackson II
Denied!
RARE7
FMV
$4.27
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Ja Morant
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Myles Turner
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$4.00
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.10%Wt 0.001
Jonathan Kuminga
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$3.81
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.12%Wt 0.001
Zach LaVine
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$3.43
Floor
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.14%Wt 0.001
Walker Kessler
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.58
Floor
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.10%Wt 0.011
Jalen Brunson
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.43%Wt 0.014
Anthony Edwards
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.57%Wt 0.016
Paolo Banchero
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.40
Floor
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Bol Bol
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.35
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.87%Wt 0.019
Jalen Suggs
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.31
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.35%Wt 0.014
Alperen Şengün
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.28
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.77%Wt 0.018
Coby White
Crunch Time
COMMON7
FMV
$0.26
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.97%Wt 0.02
Ja Morant
Hoop Vision
COMMON7
FMV
$0.25
Floor
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.73%Wt 0.017