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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5079
Chasing Rookie Revelation: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.82 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.22 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 98% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
318 editions
Depletion
98%
pool · as of 14h ago
Packs remaining
161
of 8,940 minted · as of 14h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 14h ago1.8%unopened
Legendary0 / 4 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.04
Rare5 / 436 (1.1%)
3.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 4.9 · 0.6× launch rate
Common478 / 26,380 (1.8%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 14h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 4 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 5 / 436 | 1.0% | ~1 in 33 |
| Common | 478 / 26,380 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 318 of 318 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Duren
Dunk · Nov 13, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.50
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Evan Mobley
Dunk · Nov 28, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.45
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Russell Westbrook
Assist · Dec 27, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.50
Mint 499
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Paul George
Dunk · Nov 21, 2021
Throwdowns
RARESeries 3
FMV
$3.80
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 888
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Zach LaVine
Dunk · Feb 11, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.21%Wt 0.002
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.004
Justin Edwards
Layup · Nov 24, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.62
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.41%Wt 0.004
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Feb 9, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.006
A.J. Lawson
3 Pointer · Mar 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Coby White
3 Pointer · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.62%Wt 0.006
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.45%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Kyrie Irving
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Alex Caruso
Steal · Nov 5, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Trae Young
Assist · Mar 5, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Damian Lillard
Assist · Nov 21, 2024
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
James Harden
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Bol Bol
Assist · Feb 9, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Steven Adams
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Dante Exum
3 Pointer · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Jalen Green
Dunk · Dec 27, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008
Fred VanVleet
Handles · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.83%Wt 0.008