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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5085
Chasing Rookie Revelation: Chance Hit II
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.64 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.98 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
95 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 22h ago
Packs remaining
49
of 20,000 minted · as of 22h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 22h ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 10 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.05
Rare6 / 2,000 (0.3%)
12 per 100 sealed packs · launch 10 · 1.2× launch rate
Common141 / 57,990 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 10 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 2,000 | 4.1% | ~1 in 9 |
| Common | 141 / 57,990 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 95 of 95 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Scoot Henderson
Layup · Dec 27, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$17.00
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 192
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Quinten Post
Block · Mar 21, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$18.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Feb 14, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Amen Thompson
Dunk · Feb 4, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Malik Monk
Dunk · Jan 6, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Obi Toppin
Dunk · Jan 7, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.99
Mint 599
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Quinten Post
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.99
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Jaylen Clark
Steal · Feb 24, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.43
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Keaton Wallace
Steal · Jan 16, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.59
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.68%Wt 0.007
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Feb 9, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.37
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.36%Wt 0.014
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Jarrett Allen
Dunk · Feb 21, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Jalen Johnson
Dunk · Dec 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Alperen Şengün
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Darius Garland
Assist · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Jamal Murray
Layup · Feb 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
De'Andre Hunter
3 Pointer · Mar 2, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Steven Adams
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.04%Wt 0.02
Josh Giddey
Jump Shot · Jan 26, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.72%Wt 0.027
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.40%Wt 0.034