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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5180
Chasing Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$15.49
Actual EV
—
≈ $3.62 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.49 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $3.02 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $15.49 ask
FMV coverage
100%
110 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 22h ago
Packs remaining
55
of 10,930 minted · as of 22h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 22h ago0.5%unopened
Legendary1 / 143 (0.7%)
1.8 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.3 · 1.4× launch rate
Rare5 / 950 (0.5%)
9.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 8.7 · ≈ launch rate
Common159 / 31,697 (0.5%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 22h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 1 / 143 | 0.6% | ~1 in 55 |
| Rare | 5 / 950 | 3.0% | ~1 in 11 |
| Common | 159 / 31,697 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 110 of 110 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Zach Edey
Dunk · Jan 16, 2025
Rookie Revelation
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$133
Recent Low
$148
Mint 75
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Dunk · Nov 30, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
John Collins
Dunk · Dec 14, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Alperen Şengün
Reel · Jan 21, 2024
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Bam Adebayo
Dunk · Jan 19, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Jeff Green
Dunk · Mar 26, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.91
Mint 888
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.64%Wt 0.036
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Toumani Camara
Steal · Nov 17, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.61%Wt 0.006
Cason Wallace
Steal · Jan 23, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.26
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Coby White
3 Pointer · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.32
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Anthony Edwards
3 Pointer · Dec 28, 2024
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Josh Hart
Steal · Jan 16, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Ja Morant
Layup · Jan 14, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
LaMelo Ball
Assist · Feb 20, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.21%Wt 0.012
Nick Smith Jr.
Assist · Jan 8, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.42%Wt 0.024
Jalen Green
Dunk · Dec 27, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Precious Achiuwa
Dunk · Dec 29, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.82%Wt 0.018
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Dec 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.03%Wt 0.03