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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5195
Chasing The Playoffs: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$11.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.55 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.10
Grail premium $1.45 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $11.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
130 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
79
of 7,498 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.1%unopened
Legendary0 / 190 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.5
Rare20 / 1,875 (1.1%)
25 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · ≈ launch rate
Common375 / 35,425 (1.1%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 190 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 20 / 1,875 | 5.1% | ~1 in 4 |
| Common | 375 / 35,425 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 130 of 130 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Bronny James
3 Pointer · Mar 21, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$12.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Feb 12, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Brice Sensabaugh
3 Pointer · Jan 5, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.76%Wt 0.008
John Collins
Dunk · Dec 14, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.99
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Paul George
Layup · Feb 27, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Julius Randle
Dunk · Mar 3, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Paolo Banchero
Layup · May 3, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 764
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Julian Champagnie
Steal · Mar 23, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Naji Marshall
3 Pointer · Mar 25, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.51%Wt 0.005
Miles Bridges
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Zion Williamson
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.69
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Brandon Boston Jr.
Jump Shot · Nov 9, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 26, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.25%Wt 0.003
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.03%Wt 0.02
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.51
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.01%Wt 0.01
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.28%Wt 0.023
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.53%Wt 0.025