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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5206
Earnable Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.90
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.33 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.90 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $0.67 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.90 ask
FMV coverage
100%
53 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 18h ago
Packs remaining
45
of 3,406 minted · as of 18h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 18h ago1.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 32 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.94
Rare6 / 308 (1.9%)
13 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.0 · 1.5× launch rate
Common129 / 9,878 (1.3%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 18h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 32 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 6 / 308 | 4.4% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 129 / 9,878 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 53 of 53 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Ja Morant
Jump Shot · Apr 3, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Julian Champagnie
Steal · Mar 23, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Miles Bridges
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Zion Williamson
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.69
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
Brandon Boston Jr.
Jump Shot · Nov 9, 2024
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.74%Wt 0.007
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.48%Wt 0.015
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Josh Giddey
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Fred VanVleet
Assist · Mar 31, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,500
Hit 2.22%Wt 0.022
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
James Harden
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Precious Achiuwa
Dunk · Dec 29, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037
Kevin Durant
Dunk · Mar 8, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.44%Wt 0.044
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.96%Wt 0.03
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.70%Wt 0.037