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Home › NBA Top Shot › Earnable Holo Icon: Chance Hit NBA Top Shot · Pack #5206
Earnable Holo Icon: Chance Hit Common 3 slots
Pack EV computed against the live secondary ask [$6.90] — what a sealed pack actually resells for, the only honest anchor for its value. Pack price
Primary SOLD OUT
Secondary $6.90
Actual EV
—
≈ — ceiling · EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Value ratio
—
EV last computed 24 days ago — not a current read; treat it as historical
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 25d ago
Packs remaining
48
of 3,406 minted · as of 25d ago
Packs Content Remaining pool · as of 25d ago
Pull odds by tier 3 slots/pack · as of 25d ago Tier Remaining % of pool Odds / pack Legendary 0 / 32 0.0% depleted Rare 6 / 308 4.4% ~1 in 8 Common 129 / 9,878 96% ~every pack
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside pullable editions FMV ↓ Mint ↑ Series ↓ A → Z
Load 24 more
▸ Exhausted / pulled out (37)
💬 Observed pack lifecycle Packs opened
688
attributed rips · sample
Moments pulled
2,068
from opened packs
Realized pull value
$47.59
total, priced pulls
Avg / pack
$1.19
per pack we could price
Realized pull value Realized $2.92 avg · $0.93 median · $3.74 p90
Realized pull value · 16 attributed opens
What drives the remaining EV Each row is an edition still in the pool. EV share = pull odds × FMV as a fraction of the pack per-slot expected value — what the remaining contents are actually worth.
EV share = pull odds × FMV ÷ per-slot EV, over the editions remaining in the pool.
Sealed pack resale Last $6.00 · 6mo ago Retail $6.90 639 sales
Sales History secondary pack sales Traced via opened packs — partial coverage that grows over time. Buyer links open the wallet's full intelligence.
Top pulls by EV top 3 of 0 81d ago
Edition EV = FMV × (drop_weight / pool_weight) × slots. Sums to Gross EV over the full pool. Snapshotted 8/28/2026, 1:55:19 AM. Methodology: cached pack_ev_history via the compute-pack-ev edge function.
