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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5229
Holo Icon: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$18.85
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.93 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.85 ask
Typical Pull
$0.66
Grail premium $2.27 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $18.85 ask
FMV coverage
100%
64 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 21h ago
Packs remaining
64
of 10,268 minted · as of 21h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 21h ago0.6%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary2 / 101 (2.0%)
3.1 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.98 · 3.2× launch rate
Rare7 / 934 (0.7%)
11 per 100 sealed packs · launch 9.1 · 1.2× launch rate
Common183 / 29,768 (0.6%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 21h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 2 / 101 | 1.0% | ~1 in 32 |
| Rare | 7 / 934 | 3.6% | ~1 in 9 |
| Common | 183 / 29,768 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 64 of 64 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
De'Andre Hunter
3 Pointer · Feb 26, 2025
Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$53.09
Recent Low
$58.99
Mint 99
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Deni Avdija
Dunk · Mar 21, 2025
Ascension
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$50.00
Recent Low
$49.00
Mint 99
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · Mar 16, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Mark Williams
Block · Mar 20, 2025
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Miles Bridges
3 Pointer · Feb 8, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Zion Williamson
Reel · Feb 28, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.69
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Mikal Bridges
3 Pointer · Mar 12, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.52%Wt 0.005
LeBron James
Assist · Mar 28, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.99
Recent Low
$0.74
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.04%Wt 0.01
Ausar Thompson
Assist · Mar 18, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.047
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.69%Wt 0.047
Jalen Brunson
Assist · Mar 2, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.036
Darius Garland
Assist · Feb 22, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.036
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
James Harden
Assist · Mar 13, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 3.65%Wt 0.036
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 16, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.60%Wt 0.026
Derrick Jones Jr.
Dunk · Dec 28, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.18
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.13%Wt 0.031