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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5247
First Round Rewind: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$14.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.78 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.05
Grail premium $0.73 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $14.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
120 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 8h ago
Packs remaining
31
of 10,000 minted · as of 8h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 8h ago0.3%unopened
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare4 / 2,500 (0.2%)
13 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 0.5× launch rate
Common151 / 47,300 (0.3%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 8h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 4 / 2,500 | 2.6% | ~1 in 8 |
| Common | 151 / 47,300 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 120 of 120 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Keldon Johnson
Dunk · Nov 5, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Spencer Dinwiddie
3 Pointer · Dec 4, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.60
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Bol Bol
Dunk · Dec 15, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$3.40
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
3 Pointer · Jan 20, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
LeBron James
Steal · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Ryan Rollins
Dunk · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.90
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Bobi Klintman
Block · Mar 2, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Drew Timme
Layup · Mar 28, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Trentyn Flowers
Dunk · Dec 5, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.58
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 2.58%Wt 0.026
Damion Baugh
3 Pointer · Feb 13, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.52
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Walker Kessler
Dunk · Mar 1, 2025
Crunch Time
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.37
Mint 2,500
Hit 0.65%Wt 0.006
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Jalen Williams
Dunk · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Damian Lillard
Block · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.31
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Davion Mitchell
3 Pointer · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Miles Bridges
Dunk · Jan 28, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Cameron Payne
3 Pointer · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Ja Morant
Handles · Jan 3, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.94%Wt 0.019