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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5263
First Round: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$49.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.61 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.69
Grail premium $0.92 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $49.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
27 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 11h ago
Packs remaining
6
of 9,985 minted · as of 11h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 11h ago0.1%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare2 / 2,499 (0.1%)
33 per 100 sealed packs · launch 25 · 1.3× launch rate
Common28 / 47,225 (0.1%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 11h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 2 / 2,499 | 6.7% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 28 / 47,225 | 93% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 27 of 27 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Paolo Banchero
Layup · May 3, 2024
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 764
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Dwight Powell
Dunk · Mar 12, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.50
Mint 749
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Alex Reese
Dunk · Mar 23, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.53
Recent Low
$0.36
Mint 4,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jalen Williams
Dunk · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jaylen Brown
Steal · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Davion Mitchell
3 Pointer · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.23
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Naz Reid
3 Pointer · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.25
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jalen Green
Dunk · Apr 24, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Ayo Dosunmu
Layup · Dec 6, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Ja Morant
Layup · Jan 14, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jamal Murray
Layup · Feb 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Rudy Gobert
Dunk · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Olivier-Maxence Prosper
Dunk · Jan 18, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Jonathan Kuminga
Dunk · Dec 16, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Nic Claxton
Dunk · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 6.67%Wt 0.067
Darius Bazley
Dunk · Dec 23, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Eric Paschall
Dunk · Jan 8, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033
Robert Williams III
Dunk · Oct 25, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 3.33%Wt 0.033