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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5278
First Round: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$10.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.02 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.72
Grail premium $0.30 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $10.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
59 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 16h ago
Packs remaining
24
of 10,000 minted · as of 16h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 16h ago0.2%unopened
Legendary0 / 25 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.25
Rare1 / 500 (0.2%)
4.2 per 100 sealed packs · launch 5.0 · 0.8× launch rate
Common71 / 29,475 (0.2%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 16h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 0 / 25 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 1 / 500 | 1.4% | ~1 in 24 |
| Common | 71 / 29,475 | 99% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 59 of 59 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Bilal Coulibaly
Dunk · Jan 26, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Luka Dončić
Jump Shot · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Jaylen Clark
Steal · Feb 24, 2025
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.60
Recent Low
$0.43
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Enrique Freeman
Block · Oct 25, 2024
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Steph Curry
Reel · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.54
Recent Low
$0.51
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Franz Wagner
Layup · Apr 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Steph Curry
Assist · Mar 16, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.39
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Luka Garza
Dunk · Nov 9, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.42
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Keion Brooks Jr.
Layup · Mar 30, 2025
Rookie Debut
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.48
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Amen Thompson
Steal · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.32
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Brandin Podziemski
3 Pointer · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Cade Cunningham
Dunk · Apr 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Block · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Nikola Jokić
Block · Dec 17, 2024
Hustle and Show
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 1.39%Wt 0.014
Aaron Gordon
Dunk · Apr 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Draymond Green
Steal · Apr 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Russell Westbrook
3 Pointer · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.28
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Darius Garland
Assist · Feb 22, 2025
Hoop Vision
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.26
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,500
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Dwight Howard
3 Pointer · Nov 21, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 2.78%Wt 0.028
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 4.17%Wt 0.042