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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5300
The Brink: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$6.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.80 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.62
Grail premium $0.18 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 94% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $6.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
74 editions
Depletion
94%
pool · as of 23h ago
Packs remaining
312
of 5,000 minted · as of 23h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 23h ago6.2%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.02
Legendary0 / 5 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Rare2 / 50 (4.0%)
0.64 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0 · 0.6× launch rate
Common622 / 9,944 (6.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 23h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 5 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 2 / 50 | 0.3% | ~1 in 156 |
| Common | 622 / 9,944 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 74 of 74 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Williams
Dunk · May 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.16%Wt 0.002
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
LeBron James
Steal · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.80%Wt 0.008
Tyrese Haliburton
Jump Shot · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Luka Dončić
Jump Shot · Apr 23, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.65
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.76
Recent Low
$0.84
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.60%Wt 0.016
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.73
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Ausar Thompson
Layup · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Franz Wagner
Layup · Apr 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.50
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.12%Wt 0.011
Chet Holmgren
Block · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.49
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Jalen Williams
Dunk · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.46
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.24%Wt 0.022
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.49
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Alex Caruso
Steal · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Myles Turner
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.44%Wt 0.014
Luke Kornet
Dunk · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.36
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.92%Wt 0.019
Andrew Nembhard
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
OG Anunoby
Dunk · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.76%Wt 0.018
Jalen Williams
Dunk · May 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.08%Wt 0.021
Miles McBride
Dunk · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.56%Wt 0.026
Julian Strawther
3 Pointer · May 16, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.24
Recent Low
$0.28
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.72%Wt 0.027