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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5303
The Brink: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.11 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
Typical Pull
$0.60
Grail premium $0.51 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
269 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
150
of 20,000 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.8%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary1 / 20 (5.0%)
0.67 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10 · 6.7× launch rate
Rare1 / 200 (0.5%)
0.67 per 100 sealed packs · launch 1.0 · 0.7× launch rate
Common448 / 59,779 (0.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 1 / 20 | 0.2% | ~1 in 150 |
| Rare | 1 / 200 | 0.2% | ~1 in 150 |
| Common | 448 / 59,779 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 269 of 269 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Julius Randle
Reel · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Legendary
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$52.00
Recent Low
$72.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.22%Wt 0.002
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.89%Wt 0.009
Max Strus
Dunk · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.89
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Ausar Thompson
Layup · Apr 19, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.59
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Paolo Banchero
Handles · Nov 4, 2023
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2023-24
FMV
$0.55
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.44%Wt 0.004
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.43
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Nikola Jokić
3 Pointer · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Jaylen Brown
Steal · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.67%Wt 0.007
Karl-Anthony Towns
3 Pointer · May 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Tyler Herro
Dunk · Dec 21, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Tyrese Maxey
Block · Feb 9, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.78%Wt 0.018
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Josh Giddey
Jump Shot · Jan 26, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.11%Wt 0.011
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02
Mike Conley
3 Pointer · Jan 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.56%Wt 0.016
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.33%Wt 0.013
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.00%Wt 0.02