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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5338
The Brink: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$25.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.08 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $25.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $1.08 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 100% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $25.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
167 editions
Depletion
100%
pool · as of 9h ago
Packs remaining
37
of 10,000 minted · as of 9h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 9h ago0.4%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare9 / 2,400 (0.4%)
24 per 100 sealed packs · launch 24 · ≈ launch rate
Common176 / 47,399 (0.4%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 9h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 9 / 2,400 | 4.9% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 176 / 47,399 | 95% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 167 of 167 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.00
Recent Low
$6.50
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Donovan Mitchell
Layup · May 9, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Rudy Gobert
Reel · May 1, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.75
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Jamal Murray
Dunk · Apr 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Jarrett Allen
Block · Apr 20, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$8.45
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Luke Kornet
Reel · May 14, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
P.J. Washington
Layup · Apr 6, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Aaron Gordon
3 Pointer · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Malik Monk
Jump Shot · Nov 29, 2023
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Tyrese Haliburton
Layup · Apr 29, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$1.00
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
LeBron James
Dunk · Jan 20, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.86
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 60,000
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Paolo Banchero
Jump Shot · Apr 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.57
Recent Low
$0.53
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Obi Toppin
Layup · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.54%Wt 0.005
Moritz Wagner
Dunk · Oct 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Miles Bridges
Dunk · Jan 15, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016
Cameron Johnson
Layup · Feb 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Lauri Markkanen
Dunk · Mar 17, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Fred VanVleet
Handles · Nov 7, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Miles Bridges
Dunk · Feb 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 35,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Jae Crowder
3 Pointer · Jan 24, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Terence Davis
Layup · Apr 4, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Jae Crowder
Steal · Feb 25, 2022
Base Set
COMMONSeries 3
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 60,000
Hit 1.08%Wt 0.011
Dāvis Bertāns
Dunk · Mar 5, 2021
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2
FMV
$0.15
Recent Low
$0.16
Mint 40,000
Hit 1.62%Wt 0.016