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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5347
The Brink: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common5 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$25.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $2.06 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $25.00 ask
Typical Pull
$1.00
Grail premium $1.06 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $25.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
222 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
85
of 9,990 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.9%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 200 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0
Rare17 / 2,399 (0.7%)
20 per 100 sealed packs · launch 24 · 0.8× launch rate
Common408 / 47,350 (0.9%)
Pull odds by tier
5 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 200 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 17 / 2,399 | 4.0% | ~1 in 5 |
| Common | 408 / 47,350 | 96% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 5 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 222 of 222 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Andrew Bogut
Block · Nov 30, 2005
Run It Back 2005-06
RARESummer 2021
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$7.00
Mint 990
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Kevin Durant
Block · Jan 30, 2025
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$7.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Alperen Şengün
Dunk · Nov 18, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.82
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Brandon Ingram
Layup · Mar 24, 2023
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 4
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Bradley Beal
Handles · Jan 12, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Joel Embiid
Dunk · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.98
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Julius Randle
Reel · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.94
Recent Low
$5.49
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Trae Young
Assist · Feb 21, 2022
2022 All-Star Game
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.75
Mint 2,022
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 5, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.87
Mint 299
Hit 0.47%Wt 0.005
Kawhi Leonard
Jump Shot · Apr 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Scoot Henderson
Layup · Nov 13, 2024
NBA Cup
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Bam Adebayo
3 Pointer · Mar 17, 2024
For the Win
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 699
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Daniel Gafford
Block · Dec 22, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Christian Braun
Dunk · Dec 15, 2023
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.49
Recent Low
$2.11
Mint 699
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Jaden Ivey
Dunk · Oct 30, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Mark Williams
Block · Dec 31, 2024
Denied!
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$2.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.24%Wt 0.002
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.021
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.35%Wt 0.024
Derrick White
3 Pointer · Feb 27, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.12%Wt 0.021
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 5, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.19
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.82%Wt 0.028