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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5353
WNBA Rookie Debut: Chance Hit
Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$17.98
Actual EV
—
≈ $4.94 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.98
Typical Pull
$2.00
Grail premium $2.94 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $17.98
FMV coverage
100%
32 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
272
of 10,200 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 19h ago2.7%unopened
Common544 / 20,400 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 19h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Common | 544 / 20,400 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
CommonHit 1.95%
Paige Bueckers
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
$32.99
CommonHit 0.49%
Aneesah Morrow
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition
$27.57
CommonHit 0.49%
Sonia Citron
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
$13.80
CommonHit 0.98%
Kiki Iriafen
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
$12.89
CommonHit 0.98%
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
$12.55
What's Inside
FMV priced 32 of 32 (100%)Paige Bueckers
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$32.99
Floor
$15.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.015
Aneesah Morrow
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025 - Signature Edition
COMMON7
FMV
$27.57
Floor
$24.00
Mint 50
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.004
Sonia Citron
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$13.80
Floor
$10.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.49%Wt 0.004
Kiki Iriafen
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$12.89
Floor
$10.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.007
Dominique Malonga
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$12.55
Floor
$9.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.007
Carla Leite
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$5.94
Floor
$4.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.011
Sarah Ashlee Barker
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$4.89
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.007
Monique Akoa Makani
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$4.36
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.95%Wt 0.015
Janelle Salaün
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$4.25
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 0.98%Wt 0.007
Aneesah Morrow
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$4.06
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 3.41%Wt 0.026
Makayla Timpson
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$3.84
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.011
Saniya Rivers
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$3.76
Floor
$3.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 1.46%Wt 0.011
Hailey Van Lith
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$2.36
Floor
$2.00
Mint 1,200
Hit 2.44%Wt 0.018
Alexa Held
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.79
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 4.39%Wt 0.033
Damiris Dantas
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.55
Floor
$0.95
Mint 1,250
Hit 6.34%Wt 0.048
Liatu King
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.41
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.022
Kariata Diaby
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.28
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.44%Wt 0.018
Maya Caldwell
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.22
Floor
$1.00
Mint 3,000
Hit 3.41%Wt 0.026
Te-Hina Paopao
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.18
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.44%Wt 0.018
Elizabeth Kitley
WNBA Rookie Debut 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$1.00
Floor
$1.00
Mint 1,250
Hit 2.93%Wt 0.022
Julie Allemand
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.91
Floor
$0.21
Mint 3,000
Hit 13.17%Wt 0.099
Olivia Nelson-Ododa
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.82
Floor
$0.26
Mint 3,000
Hit 10.73%Wt 0.081
Naz Hillmon
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.62
Floor
$0.40
Mint 3,000
Hit 8.29%Wt 0.063
Erica Wheeler
WNBA 2025
COMMON7
FMV
$0.49
Floor
$0.26
Mint 3,000
Hit 8.78%Wt 0.066