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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5392
The Brink: Chance Hit
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common3 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$9.75
Actual EV
—
≈ $1.47 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.75 ask
Typical Pull
$0.90
Grail premium $0.57 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $9.75 ask
FMV coverage
100%
125 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 1d ago
Packs remaining
122
of 17,500 minted · as of 1d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 1d ago0.7%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 15 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.09
Rare11 / 1,330 (0.8%)
9.0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 7.6 · 1.2× launch rate
Common355 / 51,154 (0.7%)
Pull odds by tier
3 slots/pack · as of 1d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 15 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 11 / 1,330 | 3.0% | ~1 in 11 |
| Common | 355 / 51,154 | 97% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 3 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 125 of 125 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$8.99
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.55%Wt 0.005
Julian Champagnie
Steal · Mar 23, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.25
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Amir Coffey
Dunk · Jan 7, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Grayson Allen
Layup · Jan 11, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Miles McBride
Dunk · Jan 28, 2025
Breakout
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Cleveland Cavaliers
Dunk · Nov 8, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Devin Vassell
Dunk · Feb 8, 2025
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Malik Monk
Dunk · Jan 8, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$4.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
New Orleans Pelicans
Dunk · Nov 12, 2023
Squad Goals
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$3.75
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 500
Hit 0.27%Wt 0.003
Aaron Nesmith
3 Pointer · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.00
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Anthony Edwards
Dunk · May 25, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.90
Recent Low
$0.45
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.46%Wt 0.025
Tyrese Haliburton
Jump Shot · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.89
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.033
Jalen Brunson
3 Pointer · May 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.68
Recent Low
$0.50
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.73%Wt 0.027
Landry Shamet
Hustle · May 30, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.65
Recent Low
$0.70
Mint 2,025
Hit 2.19%Wt 0.022
Mitchell Robinson
Dunk · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.45
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.036
Chet Holmgren
Dunk · May 22, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.40
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.37%Wt 0.044
OG Anunoby
Block · May 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.28%Wt 0.033
Obi Toppin
Dunk · May 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.64%Wt 0.046
Nickeil Alexander-Walker
Layup · May 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.92%Wt 0.049
Karl-Anthony Towns
3 Pointer · May 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.33
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Donte DiVincenzo
3 Pointer · May 27, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.10%Wt 0.041
Miles McBride
3 Pointer · May 26, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.29
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.55%Wt 0.036
Jaden McDaniels
Block · May 21, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.29
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 3.83%Wt 0.038
Ben Sheppard
3 Pointer · May 24, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.24
Mint 2,025
Hit 4.10%Wt 0.041