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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5641
Legacy Threads: Premium Chance Hit II
Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$45.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $12.58 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $45.00
Typical Pull
$9.40
Grail premium $3.18 — lottery-shaped
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (97% depleted) — honest value ≈ secondary ask $45.00
FMV coverage
100%
105 editions
Depletion
97%
live pool
Packs remaining
83
of 2,999 minted
Packs Content Remaining
live pool · as of 21d ago2.8%unopened
Legendary2 / 60 (3.3%)
Rare105 / 3,749 (2.8%)
Common59 / 2,189 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 21d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 2 / 60 | 1.2% | ~1 in 42 |
| Rare | 105 / 3,749 | 63% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 59 / 2,189 | 36% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the live remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 105 of 105 (100%)Zach Randolph
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$117
Floor
$62.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
James Harden
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARY7
FMV
$72.00
Floor
$60.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Allen Iverson
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$30.33
Floor
$23.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Desmond Bane
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$21.60
Floor
$24.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Ben Wallace
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$19.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
D'Angelo Russell
Metallic Gold LE
RARE1
FMV
$17.10
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Amar'e Stoudemire
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$17.00
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Kawhi Leonard
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$16.67
Floor
$12.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Tracy McGrady
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$16.15
Floor
$19.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Brandon Ingram
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$15.30
Floor
$17.00
Mint 271
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Anthony Edwards
For The Win
RARE7
FMV
$14.45
Floor
$17.00
Mint 219
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Dikembe Mutombo
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$14.45
Floor
$17.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Justin Edwards
Freshman Gems
RARE7
FMV
$14.40
Floor
$16.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Jaylen Brown
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$13.80
Floor
$10.00
Mint 285
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Monta Ellis
Run It Back: Origins
RARE6
FMV
$12.89
Floor
$7.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Onyeka Okongwu
Metallic Gold LE
RARE4
FMV
$11.70
Floor
$13.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Anthony Edwards
Best of 2024 NBA Playoffs
RARE6
FMV
$11.44
Floor
$9.00
Mint 400
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Metallic Gold LE
RARE6
FMV
$11.29
Floor
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Cam Reddish
Metallic Gold LE
RARE2
FMV
$10.80
Floor
$12.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Chris Mullin
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$10.20
Floor
$12.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Joakim Noah
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARE7
FMV
$9.35
Floor
$11.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Brandon Roy
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$8.98
Floor
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018
John Wall
Run It Back: Origins
RARE7
FMV
$7.21
Floor
$6.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018
Jay Huff
Throwdowns
RARE7
FMV
$5.57
Floor
$5.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018