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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5641
Legacy Threads: Premium Chance Hit II
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Rare2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$45.00
Actual EV
—
≈ $9.27 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
Typical Pull
$8.00
Grail premium $1.27 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 97% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $45.00 ask
FMV coverage
100%
105 editions
Depletion
97%
pool · as of 7h ago
Packs remaining
83
of 2,999 minted · as of 7h ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 7h ago2.8%unopened
Legendary2 / 60 (3.3%)
2.4 per 100 sealed packs · launch 2.0 · 1.2× launch rate
Rare105 / 3,749 (2.8%)
127 per 100 sealed packs · launch 125 · ≈ launch rate
Common59 / 2,189 (2.7%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 7h ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Legendary | 2 / 60 | 1.2% | ~1 in 42 |
| Rare | 105 / 3,749 | 63% | ~1 in 1 |
| Common | 59 / 2,189 | 36% | ~1 in 2 |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 105 of 105 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Zach Randolph
Jump Shot · Oct 29, 2009
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$59.00
Recent Low
$46.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
James Harden
Layup · Oct 31, 2012
Run It Back: Legacy Threads
LEGENDARYSeries 2024-25
FMV
$40.00
Recent Low
$40.00
Mint 75
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Oct 19, 2022
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 4
FMV
$32.75
Recent Low
$11.00
Mint 425
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Anthony Edwards
Block · Feb 25, 2025
For The Win
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$19.50
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 219
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Allen Iverson
Jump Shot · Nov 3, 2009
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$15.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Giannis Antetokounmpo
Dunk · Jan 5, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$14.50
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Dyson Daniels
Layup · Oct 23, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$14.00
Recent Low
$0.55
Mint 499
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
D'Angelo Russell
Block · Feb 27, 2020
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 1
FMV
$13.50
Recent Low
$15.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Desmond Bane
Layup · Jan 2, 2021
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2
FMV
$13.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Monta Ellis
Layup · Mar 28, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2023-24
FMV
$12.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Jan 20, 2017
Run It Back: Origins 2014-19
RARESeries 4
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Dejounte Murray
Assist · Oct 24, 2024
Fresh Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$11.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 499
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Tyrese Haliburton
Reel · Nov 26, 2024
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$8.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Kawhi Leonard
Dunk · Mar 16, 2012
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$10.00
Recent Low
$10.00
Mint 399
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Brandon Ingram
3 Pointer · Mar 7, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 271
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Dikembe Mutombo
Dunk · Jun 6, 2003
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Onyeka Okongwu
Dunk · Jan 30, 2022
Metallic Gold LE
RARESeries 3
FMV
$9.50
Recent Low
$9.00
Mint 749
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
Justin Edwards
Dunk · Mar 20, 2025
Freshman Gems
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$9.00
Recent Low
$16.00
Mint 199
Hit 0.60%Wt 0.006
John Wall
Steal · Nov 2, 2010
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.75
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018
Brandon Roy
Handles · Nov 2, 2006
Run It Back: Origins
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$6.00
Recent Low
$5.00
Mint 399
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018
Amar'e Stoudemire
Dunk · Feb 22, 2015
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$4.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Chris Mullin
3 Pointer · Apr 23, 1998
Run It Back: Phantom Threads
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$5.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Sandro Mamukelashvili
Reel · Mar 20, 2025
Video Game Numbers
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$4.50
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 499
Hit 1.20%Wt 0.012
Jay Huff
Dunk · Oct 27, 2024
Throwdowns
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 599
Hit 1.81%Wt 0.018