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NBA Top Shot · Pack #5650
The Climb: Chance Hit Mini
Premium Chance Hit vs Chance Hit: what these packs contain →Common2 slots
Pack price
PrimarySOLD OUT
Secondary$3.90
Actual EV
—
≈ $0.49 ceiling · EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.90 ask
Typical Pull
$0.42
Grail premium $0.07 — value evenly spread
Value ratio
—
EV inflated by survivor bias (pool 99% drawn) — a ceiling, already below the $3.90 ask
FMV coverage
100%
379 editions
Depletion
99%
pool · as of 2d ago
Packs remaining
259
of 19,772 minted · as of 2d ago
Packs Content Remaining
pool · as of 2d ago1.3%unopened
Ultimate0 / 1 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.01
Legendary0 / 20 (0.0%)
0 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.10
Rare1 / 195 (0.5%)
0.39 per 100 sealed packs · launch 0.99 · 0.4× launch rate
Common776 / 59,100 (1.3%)
Pull odds by tier
2 slots/pack · as of 2d ago| Tier | Remaining | % of pool | Odds / pack |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ultimate | 0 / 1 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Legendary | 0 / 20 | 0.0% | depleted |
| Rare | 1 / 195 | 0.1% | ~1 in 389 |
| Common | 776 / 59,100 | 100% | ~every pack |
Odds/pack ≈ chance of at least one card of that tier across 2 slots, from the remaining pool. Approximate (assumes independent slots).
Top chases
highest-FMV pulls in this pack
What's Inside
FMV priced 379 of 379 (100%)Sorted among the 24 loaded editions · load more to sort the rest
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Rare
RARESeries 2024-25
FMV
$3.00
Recent Low
$3.00
Mint 299
Hit 0.13%Wt 0.001
Quenton Jackson
Dunk · Nov 19, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$1.42
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 4,000
Hit 0.26%Wt 0.003
Shai Gilgeous-Alexander
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.80
Recent Low
$0.75
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Max Strus
Dunk · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.69
Recent Low
$0.89
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Aaron Nesmith
Jump Shot · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.44
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Alex Caruso
Steal · May 18, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.41
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Obi Toppin
Layup · May 12, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.39
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.77%Wt 0.008
Myles Turner
3 Pointer · May 4, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.38
Recent Low
$0.25
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Luguentz Dort
3 Pointer · May 13, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.35
Recent Low
$0.30
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.64%Wt 0.006
Julius Randle
3 Pointer · May 15, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.34
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Aaron Gordon
3 Pointer · May 6, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.30
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Donovan Mitchell
Assist · Mar 6, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.21
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Wendell Carter Jr.
Dunk · Feb 22, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.27
Recent Low
$0.18
Mint 8,000
Hit 0.90%Wt 0.009
Paul George
3 Pointer · Dec 17, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.23
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns
Dunk · Nov 14, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.54%Wt 0.015
Julian Strawther
Dunk · Nov 7, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Buddy Hield
3 Pointer · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.22
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Jamal Murray
Steal · May 10, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Karl-Anthony Towns
Assist · May 7, 2025
2025 NBA Playoffs: Common
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.22
Recent Low
$0.20
Mint 2,025
Hit 1.03%Wt 0.01
Devin Booker
Assist · Feb 1, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.19
Mint 8,000
Hit 2.06%Wt 0.021
Kentavious Caldwell-Pope
Jump Shot · Dec 22, 2024
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.21
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.29%Wt 0.013
Isaiah Hartenstein
Dunk · Feb 25, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.15
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Josh Giddey
Jump Shot · Jan 26, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.20
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.16%Wt 0.012
Kelly Oubre Jr.
Dunk · Jan 11, 2025
Base Set
COMMONSeries 2024-25
FMV
$0.17
Recent Low
$0.17
Mint 8,000
Hit 1.42%Wt 0.014